Membership built around the Desk.
One membership to the First Down Intel Desk: the NFL market's consensus, line movement, book coverage and key numbers, with governed model context where an eligible read exists.
Pricing
- Founder$29/mo
- Standard$49/mo
What membership includes
- The full-game total and moneyline market for NFL games on the Desk, as a consensus across the books tracked.
- Line movement — how the total has moved since it was first observed.
- Book coverage — how many tracked books are pricing the market.
- Key-number context — how close the total sits to a number games commonly land on.
- Governed model context where an eligible read exists: a projected game total, a moneyline win probability, an Intel Score, and a Moneyline Lean when its policy qualifies.
- Player props where published for a game: individual-player Receptions projections beside the current prop market where one is available, with exact-line model context in the player dossier where it applies — a model estimate, not a recommendation. Many games and players have none, and no projection is estimated in their place.
- Honest gaps. When a governed model view is not available, the Desk shows it as absent. Nothing is estimated in its place.
What membership does not promise
- FDI does not sell picks, and nothing here promises a financial return of any kind.
- Model views are not available for some games, and nothing is estimated where one is missing.
- A Moneyline Lean is directional model context, not an FDI Position or an instruction.
- The Intel Score is a 0–100 measure of how strongly the available evidence supports the way a read was built. It is not a win, cover, or hit probability, and not an expected return.
- FDI makes no claim that its model outputs beat the closing line.
Questions
What is First Down Intel?
An NFL market-context service. The Desk shows the full-game total and moneyline market — consensus, line movement, book coverage and key numbers — beside governed model context where an eligible read exists. It is an information service: it is not a sportsbook and does not accept money tied to game outcomes.
View the historical sampleDoes FDI sell picks?
No. FDI does not sell picks or a list of selections. It shows the market and governed model context, and it does not tell you what action to take.
What does membership include?
Access to the member Desk: market context for NFL games, plus governed model views where an eligible read exists — a projected game total, a moneyline win probability, an Intel Score, and a Moneyline Lean when its policy qualifies — and Player props where published for a game: individual-player Receptions projections beside the current prop market. Founder and Standard are the same membership at two prices.
Are model views available for every game?
No. A governed model view appears only where an eligible read exists, so some games have none of them at a given time. When a view is not available, the Desk shows it as absent; nothing is estimated in its place.
What is Founder pricing?
Founder covers the first 55 paid First Down Intel Founder members. The $29/month Founder rate applies to First Down Intel only and continues while that membership remains continuously active. Other products, sports, add-ons, premium modules and separately priced services are not automatically included. Your rate is confirmed at checkout: the Founder rate applies while a Founder place remains, otherwise the Standard rate applies. Founder status is personal and non-transferable, and if the membership is actually cancelled or terminated, the Founder rate ends with it.
Read the Founder termsCan I cancel?
Membership is a monthly subscription that renews each month until you cancel it. Your account opens a billing portal with the payment processor, and the options that portal presents — including when a cancellation takes effect — are set by the processor, not by FDI. FDI charges no cancellation fee of its own. Cancelling stops future renewals. Except where required by applicable law, subscription fees are non-refundable.
Read cancellation and refundsDoes Founder membership include future products or sports?
No. The Founder rate applies to First Down Intel only. It does not automatically include any other current or future product, sport, premium module, add-on, bundle or separately priced service.
Next step
Create your account first. Membership starts after you sign in.