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NFL ▸ Scoring-Environment Market

See the market clearly.

The NFL market — consensus, line movement and key numbers — beside governed model context, in one clean Desk. FDI doesn't sell picks, and makes no claim to beat the market.

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  • Board
  • Player props
  • Archive

Inside the Desk

NFL
  1. Market context
  2. Governed model context
  3. Player Prop Intelligence
  4. Honest gaps

Historical exampleBaltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts

Consensus total
48.0
Projected total
46.2
Intel Score
66 / 100

See the Desk in action

A reconstructed pregame example from a completed 2026 Week 1 game, built only from inputs that existed before kickoff and shown with the member Desk's governed views. It is an archived example, not a live board.

Historical product example

Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts

Kickoff Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM EDT

Consensus total
48.0
Projected game total
46.2
Moneyline win probability
Indianapolis Colts 58.6%Baltimore Ravens 41.4%
Intel Score
66 / 100

Moneyline Lean: Indianapolis Colts (home) — directional model context, not an FDI Position or an instruction.

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What you get

  • Market context

    Full-game total and moneyline consensus each week, how the line has moved, how many books are pricing it, and how close the total sits to a key number.

  • Governed model context

    Where an eligible read exists: a projected game total, a moneyline win probability, an Intel Score, and a Moneyline Lean when its policy qualifies.

  • Player Prop Intelligence

    Published Receptions projections for individual players, shown with the current prop market where available and exact-line model context in the player dossier. Availability varies by game and player, and model context is an estimate, not a recommendation.

  • Honest gaps

    A view that is not available stays empty. Nothing is estimated just to fill a card, and market prices show when they were observed.

How FDI is different

  • FDI doesn't sell picks or promise financial returns. Nothing here promises a financial return of any kind.
  • A Lean is directional model context, not an FDI Position or an instruction.
  • The Intel Score is a 0–100 measure of how strongly the available evidence supports the way a read was built. It is not a win, cover, or hit probability, not an expected return, and not a pick.
  • Some games have none of these views, and nothing is estimated in their place.
  • FDI makes no claim that these model outputs beat the closing line.
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Pricing

Founder$29/mo
Standard$49/mo

Founder covers the first 55 paid First Down Intel Founder members. The $29/month Founder rate applies to First Down Intel only and continues while that membership remains continuously active. Other products, sports, add-ons, premium modules and separately priced services are not automatically included. Full Founder terms — including what happens if a membership ends and is restarted — are in the terms of use.

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Start with the sample

Open a complete pregame example, then create your account when you’re ready.

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